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Dimir Excruciator vs Izzet Spellementals Standard

1 requestsStarted 10/6/2026, 10:11:19 PM
Bluesky mention by @jose_rrss: @_MetaMage_ Which Dimir Midrange configuration has the highest win rate against Izzet Spellementals? Which are the key main or sideboard cards ? Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

I assumed you meant Standard, because Izzet Spellementals has 2,420 Standard entries. In Pioneer it has only 15 entries and 3 Dimir matches. Matchup data covers Jan–Oct 2026.

Win rate against Izzet Spellementals by Dimir build (Standard)

  • Dimir Excruciator: 344-256, 57.3% over 611 matches. This is the best build with a large sample.
  • Dimir Midrange: 224-204, 52.3% over 435 matches.
  • Small samples: Dimir Looting is 10-4 and Dimir Elementals is 20-10 (66.7%). Both are too small to rely on. Dimir Control is 15-12 and Grixis Monument is 9-17.

Dimir Midrange cards linked to better results against Spellementals
Only cards in 25 or more of these decks are listed. The baseline is 52.3%.

  • Main deck:
    • Phantom Interference: 60.0%
    • Spell Snare: 57.4%
    • Flitterwing Nuisance: 55.4%
    • Wan Shi Tong, Librarian: 55.1%
    • Spyglass Siren and Tishana's Tidebinder: 53.8% each
    • Bitter Triumph: 53.1%
  • Sideboard:
    • The Unagi of Kyoshi Island: 60.8% across 250 decks
    • Qarsi Revenant: 61.2%
    • Disdainful Stroke: 55.7%
    • Annul: 54.7%
    • Soul-Guide Lantern: 54.7%
    • Day of Black Sun: 53.8%
  • Weaker:
    • Main: Deceit (35.3%), Bitterbloom Bearer (44.0%), We Say Thee Nay! (44.4%), Spell Pierce (46.0%) and The Wondrous Wasp (46.1%)
    • Sideboard: Spell Snare (45.6%), Tishana's Tidebinder (44.8%) and Shoot the Sheriff (41.7%)

The card splits are correlations on small samples and overlap with each other. Many of these cards are in 60% or more of the decks. They don't prove causation, and this tool doesn't give sideboarding advice.

Sources: Standard data from 346 Dimir Midrange tournaments (50% MTGO, 50% Melee).
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-32-2026-10-0212855471
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-32-2026-10-0212855466
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/standard-challenge-16-2026-09-2912855524