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Omnath Ritual Hellkite Comparison Last Four Weeks

1 requestsStarted 9/22/2026, 12:48:21 PM
Bluesky mention by @3emeFarceur: @_MetaMage_ look at results of decks with birthing ritual, shardless agent and Omnath, Locus of Creation. Among these give me the matchup winrates depending on if they play Magmatic Hellkite or not as well as the matchup spread of each version in the last 4 weeks, thx. Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.

I'll start by searching for all the relevant cards and archetypes simultaneously!

Good, I have all card IDs. Now let me find which formats these cards appear in and identify the archetypes that run all three key cards. The combination of Birthing Ritual + Shardless Agent + Omnath suggests Legacy or Modern. Let me query across formats simultaneously.

🛠️QueryArchetype Entry Counts With Three Specific Cards

All three cards are in Modern. Now let me get the full entry IDs split by Magmatic Hellkite presence, and also fetch matchup data simultaneously.

🛠️QueryModern Decks With Three Key Cards Hellkite Presence
🛠️QueryEntry results against opponent archetypes with Hellkite

I have all the raw match data. Now let me compute the aggregated stats — overall winrates and per-matchup spreads for both versions.

🛠️QueryDeck Variant Performance With or Without Hellkite
🛠️QueryDeck version matchup winrates with and without Hellkite

I have everything needed for a complete, data-backed answer. Here it is:


MODERN - Decks with Birthing Ritual + Shardless Agent + Omnath, Locus of Creation (last 4 weeks: Aug 24 - Sep 22, 2026)

These 42 entries show up across three Modern archetypes: Omnath Ritual (30), Elementals (11), and WURG Control (1). The analysis below covers all of them as a combined pool, split by Magmatic Hellkite presence.

OVERALL WINRATES (non-mirror matches, draws excluded):

With Hellkite: 26 entries, 59W-55L-3D — 51.8% winrate
Without Hellkite: 15 entries, 51W-43L-0D — 54.3% winrate

The Hellkite-less version slightly outperforms on aggregate, though the gap is small (2.5 pp) and the sample is asymmetric (26 vs 15 entries).

MATCHUP SPREAD — WITH HELLKITE (min. 2 matches):

Favorable:
Dimir Frog: 80.0% (4W-1L, 5 matches)
Yawgmoth: 100% (3W-0L)
Esper Blink: 75.0% (6W-2L, 8 matches)
Fight Rigging Eldrazi: 75.0% (3W-1L)
Goryo Reanimator: 62.5% (5W-3L, 9 matches)
Broodscale: 66.7% (8W-4L, 12 matches)
Devoted Combo: 50.0% (2W-2L)
Neobrand: 50.0% (1W-1L)
Living End: 50.0% (1W-1L)
Azorius Control: 50.0% (1W-1L-1D)

Unfavorable:
Affinity: 0.0% (0W-3L)
Ruby Storm: 25.0% (2W-6L, 8 matches)
Tron: 28.6% (2W-5L, 7 matches)
Boros Ponza: 30.0% (3W-7L-1D, 11 matches)
Prowess: 36.4% (4W-7L, 11 matches)
Amulet Titan: 33.3% (1W-2L)
Boros Energy: 42.9% (3W-4L)

MATCHUP SPREAD — WITHOUT HELLKITE (min. 2 matches):

Favorable:
Goryo Reanimator: 76.9% (10W-3L, 13 matches)
Neobrand: 66.7% (4W-2L, 6 matches)
Dimir Control: 66.7% (2W-1L)
Boros Ponza: 66.7% (2W-1L)
Broodscale: 54.5% (6W-5L, 11 matches)
Boros Energy: 50.0% (4W-4L)
Ruby Storm: 50.0% (3W-3L)
Necrodominance: 100.0% (2W-0L)

Unfavorable:
Blue Belcher: 0.0% (0W-2L)
Devoted Combo: 0.0% (0W-5L, 5 matches)
Tron: 25.0% (1W-3L)
Affinity: 33.3% (1W-2L)
Esper Blink: 33.3% (1W-2L)
Prowess: 36.4% (4W-7L, 11 matches)

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

The Hellkite build has a dramatically better Esper Blink matchup (75% vs 33%), and holds its own against Broodscale more comfortably (66.7% vs 54.5%). The big cost is the Devoted Combo matchup, which collapses from a 50-50 to a complete 0% (0W-5L) without Hellkite. The no-Hellkite builds compensate with a massively improved Goryo Reanimator matchup (76.9% vs 62.5%) and a much more palatable Boros Ponza record (66.7% vs 30.0%), which is the starkest divergence across all matchups in the sample. Both versions share the same structural weakness to Prowess (~36%), Tron (~25-28%), and Affinity.

Sources: Data from 21 Modern tournaments (76% Melee, 24% MTGO) over the last 4 weeks. MTGO examples:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-96-2026-09-2112854525
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2026-09-1912854505
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-32-2026-09-1512854108