Pauper decks by winrate, last 60 days (Aug 6 – Oct 6, 2026)
Winrates exclude draws. I listed decks with at least 280 matches, so these are reasonably large samples.
Best performers
- Esper Affinity: 56.9% (350 matches, 2.0% of the field)
- Spy Combo: 56.1% (660 matches, 3.8%)
- Mono Blue Faeries: 52.1% (521 matches, 3.0%)
- White Aggro: 52.1% (780 matches, 4.5%)
- Gates: 52.4% (310 matches, 1.8%)
- Red Madness: 51.7% (1,988 matches, 11.4%). It's the most played deck and still wins more than it loses.
- Tron: 51.2% (1,071 matches, 6.1%)
- Aura Bogles: 51.5% (507 matches, 2.9%)
Decks to avoid
- Dimir Terror: 42.2%
- Gruul Ponza: 44.1%
- Dimir Faeries: 48.4%
Takeaways
- Esper Affinity and Spy Combo are clearly ahead of the rest. Both are about 5–6 points above 50%.
- Most of the field sits between 49% and 52%, so pilot skill and familiarity with the deck probably matter as much as the choice of deck.
- Esper Affinity and Spy Combo are played less than the top decks. Their winrates may be inflated by skilled pilots, and opponents may be less prepared for them.
- I haven't checked individual matchups or whether these decks do better in big events. I can pull either if you want.
Sources
Data from 173 Pauper tournaments: 57% Melee, 28% MTGO, 15% Cardsrealm.