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Modern Prowess Optimal List Card Winrate

1 requestsStarted 9/29/2026, 12:39:45 AM
whats the optimal izzet prowess list based of individual card win percentage?

Let me gather the data needed — I'll pull the Izzet Prowess archetype overview and recent card breakdown simultaneously.

Interesting — the overview returned Izzet Prowess in Standard, not Modern. Let me check if there's a Modern version, and simultaneously pull the card-level win percentage data for both the main and sideboard.

🛠️Get Archetype Cards

No Izzet Prowess data in Modern over the last 60 days. Let me check what's in the Modern meta and whether Izzet Prowess exists under a different name, and also look at the Standard version's card win rates since that's where the data lives.

🛠️Get Meta Report
🛠️Get Archetype Cards

I can see "Prowess" exists in Modern (not "Izzet Prowess"). Let me now pull the Modern Prowess card data and run a per-card win rate query on the Standard Izzet Prowess since that's where the robust data is.

🛠️Get Archetype Cards
🛠️QueryIzzet Prowess Card Winrates by Popularity

Now let me run the same per-card win rate query for the Modern Prowess archetype:

🛠️QueryProwess Deck Card Winrates by Popularity

Here's a heads-up before diving in: there is no "Izzet Prowess" archetype tracked in Modern — the closest equivalent is simply called "Prowess" in the database, and it's one of the most-played archetypes in the format (~10.5% meta share). Here's what the per-card win rate data says about optimal construction:


⚡ Modern Prowess — Optimal List by Card Win Rate

(Last 60 days | 1,016 decks | Overall WR: 49.4%)

🏆 Core — Play 4-of, No Questions Asked

These are in virtually every list and form the non-negotiable backbone:

CardPresenceWR%
Mishra's Bauble100%49.44%
Cori-Steel Cutter100%49.44%
Lava Dart100%49.44%
Lightning Bolt100%49.44%
Monastery Swiftspear99.9%49.43%
Dragon's Rage Channeler99.6%49.44%
Preordain99.5%49.46%
Thundering Falls98.6%49.54%
Slickshot Show-Off93.8%49.16%
Expressive Iteration91.5%49.15%
Mutagenic Growth91.2%48.94%

✅ Strong Tech — Clear Win Rate Edge

These flex slots post above-average WR despite lower inclusion rates, suggesting they correlate with better-tuned lists:

CardPresenceWR%Notes
Assault Strobe12.8%52.98%Highest WR in the archetype
Unholy Heat35.4%51.96%Delirium removal upgrade
Monstrous Rage17.0%52.11%Pump + trample
Stormchaser's Talent25.8%50.34%Sustained card advantage

⚠️ Below Average — Consider Cutting

CardPresenceWR%
Violent Urge68.7%48.78%
Flashback10.9%47.62%
Mutagenic Growth91.2%48.94%

⚠️ Important Caveat

Per-card win rate reflects the performance of decks that included those cards, not isolated card power. Cards like Assault Strobe (52.98%) show up in lists that are already tuned to close out games fast — so the WR signal is partly a proxy for deck-building philosophy, not just the card itself.

The data suggests leaning into Assault Strobe + Monstrous Rage as your flex 8–12 slots over Violent Urge if you want the highest-performing builds.


Sources: Data from 154 Modern tournaments (Jul 28–Sep 28, 2026) | 64.9% MTGO, 35.1% Melee