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Mono Green Elves Pauper Matchup Spread

1 requestsStarted 9/21/2026, 3:41:33 AM
Bluesky mention by @Lucabd3: @_MetaMage_ what is the matchup spreed for mono green elves in pauper Please answer the question based on MTG tournament data. The full thread JSON is available but omitted here.
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Now let me get the head-to-head matchups for Elves against the top archetypes:

Here is the full matchup spread for Elves in Pauper over the last 60 days (July 15 - September 14, 2026). Overall, Elves sits at a 49.76% winrate, making it a middle-of-the-pack archetype with some very clear best and worst matchups.

FAVORABLE MATCHUPS (Elves wins)

  • vs Gruul Ponza: 89.5% (17-2, 19 matches) — dominant
  • vs Tron: 68.75% (22-10, 32 decisive) — strong
  • vs Grixis Affinity: 62.2% (28-17, 45 decisive)
  • vs White Aggro: 62.5% (20-12, 32 decisive)
  • vs Mono Blue Terror: 60.0% (24-16, 40 matches)
  • vs Mono Blue Faeries: 57.1% (12-9, 21 matches)
  • vs Jund Midrange: 55.6% (20-16, 36 decisive)

ROUGHLY EVEN

  • vs Spy Combo: 46.2% (12-14, 26 matches)
  • vs Red Rally: 44.1% (15-19, 34 matches)
  • vs Dimir Faeries: 50.0% (6-6, 12 matches)

UNFAVORABLE MATCHUPS (Elves loses)

  • vs Gates: 41.2% (7-10, 17 decisive)
  • vs Jeskai Ephemerate: 36.4% (4-7, 11 decisive)
  • vs Dimir Terror: 31.6% (6-13, 19 decisive)
  • vs Red Madness: 16.9% (12-59, 71 decisive) — severe negative matchup

Red Madness is by far the worst matchup for Elves, and it is also the most-played deck in the format at 10% meta share, which is a big reason why Elves struggles to post a positive overall record despite beating many other popular decks. Gruul Ponza and Tron are free wins, while Dimir Terror and Jeskai Ephemerate represent meaningful problem matchups to prepare for.

Sources: Data from 89 tournaments (July 15 - September 14, 2026), split 53% Melee, 37% MTGO, 10% Cardsrealm.