Good. The archetype "Esper Ketramose" is confirmed in Modern (archetype_id: 4794bfbc-690c-4827-9a87-6e9031b72011). Now let me get the matchup spread, winrate, and trends all at once.
Now let me pull head-to-head matchup data against the major Modern archetypes simultaneously.
Here is the full matchup spread for Esper Ketramose in Modern over the last ~3 months (Jul 1 - Sep 28, 2026). The deck sits at 53.9% overall (41W-35L, mirror excluded), confirming it as a quietly positive performer despite its fringe presence (only 17 total entries across 14 events).
NOTE: Most per-matchup sample sizes are small (1-10 matches), so treat individual rates as directional signals, not hard facts.
MATCHUP SPREAD - Esper Ketramose vs Modern Field
FAVORABLE
vs Goryo Reanimator: 80.0% (4-1, 5 matches)
The graveyard-centric plan is disrupted naturally by the Esper shell's interaction suite. Ketramose generating incremental card advantage means the deck doesn't need to race; it can pressure the setup pieces and punish stumbles.
vs Neobrand: 75.0% (3-1, 4 matches)
Similar dynamic to Goryo - Esper Ketramose has enough disruption and life gain redundancy to weather the burst kill and punish the combo's inconsistency windows.
vs Prowess: 66.7% (8-4, 12 matches - most reliable sample)
This is the deck's best-evidenced good matchup. The Psychic Frog / Ketramose engine generates card advantage and life faster than Prowess can rebuild through removal, making this a comfortable grind.
vs Fight Rigging Eldrazi: 66.7% (2-1, 3 matches)
Interaction and card selection give Ketramose enough tools to contest the Fight Rigging setup.
vs Boros Ponza: 60.0% (3-2, 5 matches)
Slightly favorable. Ponza's land destruction is painful but the W/U/B fetchland base provides some resilience, and Ketramose's value engine recovers from land disruption reasonably well.
ROUGHLY EVEN
vs Azorius Control: 50.0% (1-1, 2 matches)
Mirror-ish battle of attrition. Too small a sample to read.
vs Amulet Titan: 50.0% (1-1, 2 matches)
Too few matches for a conclusion.
UNFAVORABLE
vs Broodscale: 40.0% (4-6, 10 matches - most reliable unfavorable sample)
The format's top dog beats Ketramose fairly consistently. Broodscale's combo speed and resilience outpaces what the Esper shell can set up, and the matchup count is large enough to treat this as a genuine weakness.
vs Devoted Combo: 40.0% (2-3, 5 matches)
Similar issue - fast goldfish combo with minimal interaction targets creates a bad configuration for a value-oriented disruption deck.
vs Esper Blink (non-Ketramose): 20.0% (1-4, 5 matches)
This is an interesting and relevant data point given the mislabeling issue Cloudscraper raised. Esper Blink proper - built around Ephemerate, Solitude, and Phelia - appears to have a structural edge over the Ketramose variant, likely because the Ephemerate engine generates more immediate tempo rather than relying on slow Ketramose accumulation.
vs Affinity: 0.0% (0-3, 3 matches)
Currently 0-3 with a small sample, suggesting Affinity's fast artifact synergies and resilience to spot removal is a real problem. This is the clearest potential weak point in the matchup chart.
vs Tron: 0.0% (0-2, 2 matches)
Tron's big mana overpowers the deck's interactive plan. Very small sample but directionally matches expectations.
SUMMARY
Esper Ketramose plays well against the format's fair and graveyard-based decks (Prowess, Goryo, Neobrand) but struggles against pure speed/combo (Broodscale, Devoted Combo) and artifact/big mana strategies (Affinity, Tron). At 53.9% overall it is a positive performer, though its low meta share (sub-1% over most of the window, spiking to 2.24% in the final week of September) means it is very much an under-the-radar option rather than a metagame staple. The late September presence spike bears watching to see if it gains traction.
Sources: Data from 14 tournaments (71% MTGO, 29% Melee) between Jul 1 and Sep 28, 2026. Most recent events:
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-16-2026-09-2612854917
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-64-2026-09-2512854911
https://www.mtgo.com/decklist/modern-challenge-96-2026-09-2112854525